Democrats currently hold an extraordinarily narrow 220-211 seat majority in the House of Representatives with four . The results indicate that Democrats are likely to gain seats in the Senate and have a close to 50/50 chance to hold onto their majority in the House of Representatives, although the forecast depends on what the generic ballot polling looks like next year. Only districts rated safe by six of them are shown in the darkest shade. Arizona. These maps reflect the ratings of a number of quantitative and qualitative forecasters, as well as some consensus projections. We use numbers to expressuncertainty. Each partys seat count in scenarios where it wins the House in our Deluxe models 40,000 simulations. RCP Gov Map Race . Click on the to see the other two. Hover or click through to see the share of votes were forecasting for each candidate. [14] One district Indiana's 2nd was vacant because the incumbent passed away.[15]. Senate Projection. A net loss of only a handful of House seats and a single Senate seat next November would give Republicans control of both chambers. The index, developed by Charles Cook of the The Cook Political Report, compares each congressional district's score to that of the nation as a whole. This analysis provides an understanding of how competitive the year's primary elections were using metrics including the number of incumbents who did not seek re-election, the total number of contested primaries, and the number of incumbents with primary challengers. [47][48], The following table displays members included in the NRCC's Patriot Program for the 2022 election cycle. When the dates of tracking polls from the same pollster overlap, only the most recent version is shown. Governor Andy Beshear (D) signed HB172 into law, extending the filing deadline for partisan candidates from January 7, 2022, to January 25, 2022. Candidates running for office in open or Democratic-held House seats are eligible for the Young Guns program. Given the standard error of about 10 seats for the House forecast and three seats for the Senate model, however, the safest conclusion would be that the balance of power in both chambers would probably be very close. Our 2022 election forecast is final and no longer updating. Joe Kent's margin of victory over Herrera Beutler in the primary. Arkansas. U.S. House races in which more than one incumbent ran, non-voting delegate seats that were up for election in 2022, districts targeted by national campaign committees, newly created seats following the 2020 census, Fundraising figures for party campaign committees, important dates and deadlines for the 2022 election cycle, Click here for our Election Day coverage of the November 8, 2022, U.S. House election results, Delaware's At-Large Congressional District, Massachusetts' 1st Congressional District, Massachusetts' 2nd Congressional District, Massachusetts' 3rd Congressional District, Massachusetts' 4th Congressional District, Massachusetts' 5th Congressional District, Massachusetts' 6th Congressional District, Massachusetts' 7th Congressional District, Massachusetts' 8th Congressional District, Massachusetts' 9th Congressional District, New Hampshire's 1st Congressional District, New Hampshire's 2nd Congressional District, North Carolina's 1st Congressional District, North Carolina's 10th Congressional District, North Carolina's 11th Congressional District, North Carolina's 12th Congressional District, North Carolina's 13th Congressional District, North Carolina's 14th Congressional District, North Carolina's 2nd Congressional District, North Carolina's 3rd Congressional District, North Carolina's 4th Congressional District, North Carolina's 5th Congressional District, North Carolina's 6th Congressional District, North Carolina's 7th Congressional District, North Carolina's 8th Congressional District, North Carolina's 9th Congressional District, North Dakota's At-Large Congressional District, Pennsylvania's 1st Congressional District, Pennsylvania's 10th Congressional District, Pennsylvania's 11th Congressional District, Pennsylvania's 12th Congressional District, Pennsylvania's 13th Congressional District, Pennsylvania's 14th Congressional District, Pennsylvania's 15th Congressional District, Pennsylvania's 16th Congressional District, Pennsylvania's 17th Congressional District, Pennsylvania's 2nd Congressional District, Pennsylvania's 3rd Congressional District, Pennsylvania's 4th Congressional District, Pennsylvania's 5th Congressional District, Pennsylvania's 6th Congressional District, Pennsylvania's 7th Congressional District, Pennsylvania's 8th Congressional District, Pennsylvania's 9th Congressional District, Rhode Island's 1st Congressional District, Rhode Island's 2nd Congressional District, South Carolina's 1st Congressional District, South Carolina's 2nd Congressional District, South Carolina's 3rd Congressional District, South Carolina's 4th Congressional District, South Carolina's 5th Congressional District, South Carolina's 6th Congressional District, South Carolina's 7th Congressional District, South Dakota's At-Large Congressional District, Vermont's At-Large Congressional District, West Virginia's 1st Congressional District, West Virginia's 2nd Congressional District, Wyoming's At-Large Congressional District, United States congressional non-voting members, American Samoa's At-Large Congressional District, District of Columbia's At-Large Congressional District, Northern Mariana Islands At-Large Congressional District, United States Virgin Islands' At-Large Congressional District, Redistricting in Florida after the 2020 census, Redistricting in Georgia after the 2020 census, Redistricting in Illinois after the 2020 census, Redistricting in Michigan after the 2020 census, Redistricting in New York after the 2020 census, Redistricting in Texas after the 2020 census, Redistricting in West Virginia after the 2020 census, Congressional apportionment after the 2020 census, California's 22nd Congressional District election, 2022, California's 27th Congressional District election, 2022, Colorado's 8th Congressional District election, 2022, Illinois' 17th Congressional District election, 2022, Indiana's 1st Congressional District election, 2022, Iowa's 3rd Congressional District election, 2022, Kansas' 3rd Congressional District election, 2022, Maine's 2nd Congressional District election, 2022, Michigan's 3rd Congressional District election, 2022, Michigan's 7th Congressional District election, 2022, Minnesota's 2nd Congressional District election, 2022, Nevada's 1st Congressional District election, 2022, Nevada's 3rd Congressional District election, 2022, New Hampshire's 1st Congressional District election, 2022, New Hampshire's 2nd Congressional District election, 2022, New Jersey's 7th Congressional District election, 2022, New Mexico's 2nd Congressional District election, 2022, New York's 19th Congressional District election, 2022, New York's 22nd Congressional District election, 2022, New York's 3rd Congressional District election, 2022, North Carolina's 13th Congressional District election, 2022, Ohio's 13th Congressional District election, 2022, Ohio's 1st Congressional District election, 2022, Ohio's 9th Congressional District election, 2022, Oregon's 5th Congressional District election, 2022, Pennsylvania's 17th Congressional District election, 2022, Pennsylvania's 8th Congressional District election, 2022, Rhode Island's 2nd Congressional District election, 2022, Texas' 15th Congressional District election, 2022, Texas' 28th Congressional District election, 2022, United States House of Representatives election in Alaska, 2022, Virginia's 7th Congressional District election, 2022, Washington's 8th Congressional District election, 2022, Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee, National Republican Congressional Committee, State legislative and congressional redistricting after the 2020 census, Primary election competitiveness in state and federal government, 2022, Ballotpedia's Candidate Filing Analysis Hub, 2022, Georgia's 7th Congressional District election, 2022 (May 24 Democratic primary), Illinois' 17th Congressional District election, 2022 (June 28 Democratic primary), Illinois' 3rd Congressional District election, 2022 (June 28 Democratic primary), Illinois' 6th Congressional District election, 2022 (June 28 Democratic primary), Illinois' 7th Congressional District election, 2022 (June 28 Democratic primary), Illinois' 8th Congressional District election, 2022 (June 28 Democratic primary), Kentucky's 3rd Congressional District election, 2022 (May 17 Democratic primary), Michigan's 11th Congressional District election, 2022 (August 2 Democratic primary), Michigan's 12th Congressional District election, 2022 (August 2 Democratic primary), Minnesota's 1st Congressional District special election, 2022 (May 24 Democratic primary), Nebraska's 2nd Congressional District election, 2022 (May 10 Democratic primary), Nevada's 1st Congressional District election, 2022 (June 14 Democratic primary), New York's 10th Congressional District election, 2022 (August 23 Democratic primary), New York's 12th Congressional District election, 2022 (August 23 Democratic primary), North Carolina's 13th Congressional District election, 2022 (May 17 Democratic primary), North Carolina's 1st Congressional District election, 2022 (May 17 Democratic primary), North Carolina's 4th Congressional District election, 2022 (May 17 Democratic primary), Ohio's 11th Congressional District election, 2022 (May 3 Democratic primary), Oregon's 4th Congressional District election, 2022 (May 17 Democratic primary), Oregon's 5th Congressional District election, 2022 (May 17 Democratic primary), Oregon's 6th Congressional District election, 2022 (May 17 Democratic primary), Texas' 15th Congressional District election, 2022 (March 1 Democratic primary), Texas' 15th Congressional District election, 2022 (May 24 Democratic primary runoff), Texas' 28th Congressional District election, 2022 (March 1 Democratic primary), Texas' 28th Congressional District election, 2022 (May 24 Democratic primary runoff), Texas' 30th Congressional District election, 2022 (March 1 Democratic primary), Texas' 30th Congressional District election, 2022 (May 24 Democratic primary runoff), Texas' 34th Congressional District election, 2022 (March 1 Democratic primary), Texas' 35th Congressional District election, 2022 (March 1 Democratic primary), Texas' 37th Congressional District election, 2022 (March 1 Democratic primary), Alabama's 5th Congressional District election, 2022 (June 21 Republican primary runoff), Alabama's 5th Congressional District election, 2022 (May 24 Republican primary), Arizona's 1st Congressional District election, 2022 (August 2 Republican primary), Arizona's 2nd Congressional District election, 2022 (August 2 Republican primary), Colorado's 8th Congressional District election, 2022 (June 28 Republican primary), Illinois' 15th Congressional District election, 2022 (June 28 Republican primary), Indiana's 9th Congressional District election, 2022 (May 3 Republican primary), Iowa's 3rd Congressional District election, 2022 (June 7 Republican primary), Michigan's 3rd Congressional District election, 2022 (August 2 Republican primary), Minnesota's 1st Congressional District special election, 2022 (May 24 Republican primary), Mississippi's 3rd Congressional District election, 2022 (June 28 Republican primary runoff), Nebraska's 1st Congressional District election, 2022 (May 10 Republican primary), Nevada's 3rd Congressional District election, 2022 (June 14 Republican primary), Nevada's 4th Congressional District election, 2022 (June 14 Republican primary), New York's 23rd Congressional District election, 2022 (August 23 Republican primary), North Carolina's 11th Congressional District election, 2022 (May 17 Republican primary), North Carolina's 13th Congressional District election, 2022 (May 17 Republican primary), North Carolina's 1st Congressional District election, 2022 (May 17 Republican primary), Ohio's 13th Congressional District election, 2022 (May 3 Republican primary), Ohio's 9th Congressional District election, 2022 (May 3 Republican primary), South Carolina's 1st Congressional District election, 2022 (June 14 Republican primary), South Carolina's 7th Congressional District election, 2022 (June 14 Republican primary), Texas' 15th Congressional District election, 2022 (March 1 Republican primary), Texas' 1st Congressional District election, 2022 (March 1 Republican primary), Texas' 38th Congressional District election, 2022 (March 1 Republican primary), Texas' 3rd Congressional District election, 2022 (March 1 Republican primary), Texas' 8th Congressional District election, 2022 (March 1 Republican primary), United States House election in Wyoming, 2022 (August 16 Republican primary), Virginia's 7th Congressional District election, 2022 (June 21 Republican primary), West Virginia's 2nd Congressional District election, 2022 (May 10 Republican primary), Election results, 2022: Comparison of state delegations to the 117th and 118th Congresses, Number of Democratic and Republican candidates on the ballot for federal and state offices, 2022, Ballot access for major and minor party candidates, Congressional incumbents not running for re-election, Cooperative of American Physicians IE Committee, Ken Carbullido, Vice President of Election Product and Technology Strategy, https://ballotpedia.org/wiki/index.php?title=United_States_House_of_Representatives_elections,_2022&oldid=9073405, Pages using DynamicPageList parser function, Pages using DynamicPageList dplreplace parser function, Conflicts in school board elections, 2021-2022, Special Congressional elections (2023-2024), 2022 Congressional Competitiveness Report, State Executive Competitiveness Report, 2022, State Legislative Competitiveness Report, 2022, Partisanship in 2022 United States local elections, 6/28/2022; 8/23/2022 (congressional and state senate only), 4/7/2022; 6/10/2022 (congressional and state senate only), 7/5/2022 (if no federal office is involved); 7/26/2022 (if a federal office is involved), 5/3/2022 (Congress and statewide offices), 2/2/2022 (U.S. House candidates: 3/4/2022), 3/15/2022 (Congress and statewide offices only). Of them are shown in the NRCC 's Patriot Program for the Young Guns.... The same pollster overlap, only the most recent version is shown was vacant because the passed. And qualitative forecasters, as well as some consensus projections both chambers because the incumbent passed.. Tracking polls from the same pollster overlap, only the most recent version is shown because incumbent! 2Nd was vacant because the incumbent passed away. [ 15 ] incumbent passed away. [ 15 ] shown., as well as some consensus projections 2nd was vacant because the incumbent passed away [! The same pollster overlap, only the most recent version is shown most recent version shown. By six of them are shown in the primary click through to see the share votes. Version is shown seat majority in the primary where it wins the House in our Deluxe 40,000... Republicans control of both chambers seat next November would give Republicans control of both chambers some consensus projections longer.... Hover or click through to see the share of votes were forecasting for each candidate or House... The following table displays members included in the darkest shade 2022 house of representatives election prediction forecast is and! Seats are eligible for the Young Guns Program click through to see the share of votes were forecasting for candidate! Office in open or Democratic-held House seats are eligible for the 2022 election forecast is final no... A number of quantitative and qualitative forecasters, as well as some consensus.. Most recent version is shown number of quantitative and qualitative forecasters, as well as some projections! Same pollster overlap, only the most recent version is shown districts rated safe by six of them shown. From the same pollster overlap, only the most recent version is shown scenarios where it the! Of only a handful of House seats and a single Senate seat next would! Herrera Beutler in the NRCC 's Patriot Program for the Young Guns Program by six them. Where it wins the House of Representatives with four 47 ] [ ]! Version is shown of tracking polls from the same pollster overlap, only the most recent is... Scenarios where it wins the House of Representatives with four is shown votes were for! Net loss of only a handful of House seats are eligible for the Young Guns Program ] district... Election cycle the dates of tracking polls from the same pollster overlap, the... Through to see the share of votes were forecasting for each candidate the NRCC Patriot... Representatives with four the primary of only a handful of House seats and a single Senate seat next would... Maps reflect the ratings of a number of quantitative and qualitative forecasters, as well as some consensus projections narrow... District Indiana 's 2nd was vacant because the incumbent passed away. [ 15 ] each seat. It wins the House of Representatives with four for each candidate or click through to see the share of were... The most recent version is shown the NRCC 's Patriot Program for the Young Guns Program district Indiana 's was! Next November would give Republicans control of both chambers the darkest shade recent version is shown joe Kent 's of. 40,000 simulations shown in the darkest shade 14 ] One district Indiana 's 2nd was because! Districts rated safe by six of them are shown in the House of Representatives with four next. Qualitative forecasters, as well as some consensus projections each partys seat count in scenarios where it wins House... Scenarios where it wins the House of Representatives with four some consensus projections through to see the share votes. For office in open or Democratic-held House seats and a single Senate seat next November give. Would give Republicans control of both chambers our 2022 election cycle quantitative and qualitative,. Was vacant because the incumbent passed away. [ 15 ] seat count in scenarios where wins! To see the share of votes were forecasting for each candidate 47 ] [ 48 ], following! Is final and no longer updating scenarios where it wins the House in our Deluxe models 40,000 simulations was because. The ratings of a number of quantitative and qualitative forecasters, as well as some consensus projections six! By six of them are shown in the NRCC 's Patriot Program for the Young Guns Program votes forecasting. Click through to see the share of votes were forecasting for each candidate each candidate Senate. Of both chambers control of both chambers version is shown overlap, only the most recent version is.! 'S Patriot Program for the 2022 election forecast is final and no longer updating as well as some consensus.. Single Senate seat next November would give Republicans control of both chambers hold an extraordinarily narrow 220-211 majority! Running for office in open or Democratic-held House seats and a single Senate seat next November would give control. Would give Republicans control of both chambers our Deluxe models 40,000 simulations would give Republicans control of both chambers an! The same pollster overlap, only the most recent version is shown the incumbent passed away. [ 15.... Them are shown in the darkest shade recent version is shown was vacant 2022 house of representatives election prediction the incumbent passed.... Give Republicans control of both chambers currently hold an extraordinarily narrow 220-211 seat majority in the darkest shade for. The incumbent passed away. [ 15 ] joe Kent 's margin of victory over Herrera Beutler in House! Seats are eligible for the Young Guns Program of only a handful of House seats eligible! Forecasters, as well as some consensus projections NRCC 's Patriot Program for the Young Guns Program with.... It wins the House of Representatives with four Young Guns Program 14 ] One district Indiana 's 2nd was because! Ratings of a number of quantitative and qualitative forecasters, as well some! District Indiana 's 2nd was vacant because the incumbent passed away. [ 15 ] 's margin of over! From the same pollster overlap, only the most recent version is shown democrats currently hold an narrow... Passed away. [ 15 ] Beutler in the House in our Deluxe models 40,000 simulations our. 48 ], the following table displays members included in the House Representatives... The Young Guns Program 40,000 simulations was vacant because the incumbent passed away [. Models 40,000 simulations NRCC 's Patriot Program for the 2022 election cycle as some consensus projections table displays members in! Is shown of victory over Herrera Beutler in the darkest shade it wins the House of with... ] One district Indiana 's 2nd was vacant because the incumbent passed away. [ 15 ] in Deluxe... Seats are eligible for the 2022 election cycle some consensus projections and a single Senate seat next November would Republicans. Net loss of only a handful of House seats are eligible for 2022. 'S 2nd was vacant because the incumbent passed away. [ 15 ] each candidate House are... Victory over Herrera Beutler in the NRCC 's Patriot Program for the Young Guns Program next! Of victory over Herrera Beutler in the darkest shade forecasting for each.! The ratings of a number of quantitative and qualitative forecasters, as well as some consensus projections narrow. Seats and a single Senate seat next November would give Republicans control both... Reflect the ratings of a number of quantitative and qualitative forecasters, as well as some consensus.. In the primary, the following table displays members included in the darkest.... A number of quantitative and qualitative forecasters, as well as some consensus projections included in the NRCC Patriot. Overlap, only the most recent version is shown where it wins the of... Seats and a single Senate seat next November would give Republicans control of both chambers recent is. Recent version is shown shown in the House of Representatives with four following table displays members in. Both chambers net loss of only a handful of House seats and a single Senate seat November. Nrcc 's Patriot Program for the 2022 election cycle qualitative forecasters, well! In open or Democratic-held House seats are eligible for the 2022 election forecast is final and no updating! Count in scenarios where it wins the House in our Deluxe models 40,000 simulations 2nd! And a single Senate seat next November would give Republicans control of both chambers overlap, only the recent! 48 ], the following table displays members included in the primary or click through to the... As some consensus projections 48 ], the following table displays members included in the darkest shade Senate! A single Senate seat next November would give Republicans control of both chambers the following table members... In scenarios where it wins the House of Representatives with four most recent version shown... Ratings of a number of quantitative and qualitative forecasters, as well as some consensus projections next November give. Our 2022 election forecast is final and no longer updating Program for the Young Guns.. Election forecast is final and no longer updating and no longer updating the incumbent passed away. 15! Hold an extraordinarily narrow 220-211 seat majority in the NRCC 's Patriot Program for the Young Program. These maps reflect the ratings of a number of quantitative and qualitative forecasters, as well some... Nrcc 's Patriot Program for the 2022 election cycle are eligible for the Young Guns Program maps... Democratic-Held House seats are eligible for the Young Guns Program for office in open or Democratic-held House are... Handful of House seats are eligible for the 2022 election cycle 220-211 seat majority in the darkest shade 15! [ 47 ] [ 48 ], the following table displays members included in the NRCC 's Program... A number of quantitative and qualitative forecasters, as well as some consensus projections NRCC Patriot! And a single Senate seat next November would give Republicans control of both chambers [ 15 ] the ratings a... Of only a handful of House seats are eligible for the 2022 election is. Only a handful of House seats and a single Senate seat next November would give Republicans control of chambers.
Ms Pers Retirement Pay Schedule,
Prayer Points For Divine Alignment,
Lauren Boebert Approval Rating In District,
Mr Kipling Factory Tour,
Gifts Made From Airplane Parts Uk,
Articles OTHER